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FC OSS vs Roda: prediction and statistics
Netherlands · Eerste Divisie · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Before kick-off
Eerste Divisie, 20 November 2026: FC OSS are at home to Roda. Roda sit 5th in the 20-team table while FC OSS are 16th, so 11 places separate the two sides.
Few sides are in better shape than FC OSS right now — 3 wins and 2 draws from the last 5 games. Roda have blown hot and cold: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) FC OSS have 18 wins, 9 draws and 18 defeats in 45 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. The away record of Roda: 17 wins, 14 draws and 16 defeats in 47 matches, with 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded on average. Goals are rarely in short supply in these samples: 3.1 per game in home matches of FC OSS and 3.0 in away matches of Roda.
Head to head there is no clear master over 16 meetings — wins: FC OSS 3, Roda 9; draws: 4. The most recent meeting, on 23 January 2026, finished Roda 1:2 FC OSS. On average these meetings produce 2.5 goals.
Form
FC OSS: last five matches — W-W-W-D-D.
- 8 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 6 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
Roda: last five matches — D-L-W-W-L.
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · away
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
Table: FC OSS — 16, Roda — 5 (of 20).
Home and away record
FC OSS at home and Roda away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| FC OSS | Roda | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 45 | 47 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 18-9-18 | 17-14-16 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
Head to head
16 meetings in our database: FC OSS won 3, 4 draws, Roda won 9. Per match: 2.5 goals.
- 23.01.2026: Roda 1:2 FC OSS
- 26.09.2025: FC OSS 1:2 Roda
- 17.01.2025: FC OSS 0:2 Roda
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- No clear favourite in our model: 43% – 24% – 33%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 69% of FC OSS’s home matches and 62% of Roda’s away matches over three seasons.
- Our model expects more corners from Roda: 6.6 against 4.3 for FC OSS.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.8 corners in the match: FC OSS 4.3, Roda 6.6. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 64% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 10.5 — 52%, typical match 44%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards: FC OSS 1.7, Roda 1.8; typical match of the competition — 3.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 28% (typical match — 24%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 72%, typical match 76%.
Result
Our model: FC OSS win 43%, draw 24%, Roda win 33%. Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 62%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| FC OSS | Roda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 40% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 62% |
| Both teams score | 62% | 68% |
| Total corners per match | 11.6 | 9.9 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 71% | 50% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.5 | 3.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 24% | 26% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 9.6 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.4 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.