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FC Volendam vs Jong Ajax: prediction and statistics
Netherlands · Eerste Divisie · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: FC Volendam · Jong Ajax
Before kick-off
Eerste Divisie, 20 November 2026: FC Volendam are at home to Jong Ajax. FC Volendam sit 7th in the 20-team table while Jong Ajax are 14th, so 7 places separate the two sides.
Few sides are in better shape than FC Volendam right now — 4 wins and 1 defeat from the last 5 games. Jong Ajax have been solid lately: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches.
FC Volendam are hard to beat on their own ground — 21 wins and 6 defeats in 27 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), with 2.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game. Trips have rarely paid off for Jong Ajax — 9 wins, 8 draws and 28 defeats in 45 away matches, scoring 1.1 and conceding 2.0 on average. Goals are rarely in short supply in these samples: 3.8 per game in home matches of FC Volendam and 3.1 in away matches of Jong Ajax.
Head to head there is no clear master over 16 meetings — wins: FC Volendam 9, Jong Ajax 3; draws: 4. The most recent meeting, on 31 March 2025, finished Jong Ajax 0:2 FC Volendam. On average these meetings produce 4.0 goals.
Form
FC Volendam: last five matches — W-W-W-W-L.
- 8 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Jong Ajax: last five matches — D-W-L-D-W.
- 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 4 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
Table: FC Volendam — 7, Jong Ajax — 14 (of 20).
Home and away record
FC Volendam at home and Jong Ajax away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| FC Volendam | Jong Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 27 | 45 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 21-0-6 | 9-8-28 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.7 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 2.0 |
Head to head
16 meetings in our database: FC Volendam won 9, 4 draws, Jong Ajax won 3. Per match: 4.0 goals.
- 31.03.2025: Jong Ajax 0:2 FC Volendam
- 25.11.2024: FC Volendam 3:0 Jong Ajax
- 02.08.2024: Jong Ajax 3:1 FC Volendam
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- FC Volendam is the more likely winner in our model: 73%, draw 16%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 78% of FC Volendam’s home matches and 64% of Jong Ajax’s away matches over three seasons.
- Our model expects more corners from FC Volendam: 5.8 against 4.6 for Jong Ajax.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.4 corners in the match: FC Volendam 5.8, Jong Ajax 4.6. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 59% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 59%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.6 yellow cards: FC Volendam 1.4, Jong Ajax 2.2; typical match of the competition — 3.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 29% (typical match — 24%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 71%, typical match 76%.
Result
Our model: FC Volendam win 73%, draw 16%, Jong Ajax win 12%. Over 2.5 goals — 70%, both teams to score — 58%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| FC Volendam | Jong Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 78% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78% | 64% |
| Both teams score | 56% | 58% |
| Total corners per match | 11.0 | 11.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 69% | 76% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 2.7 | 3.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 19% | 31% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 12.0 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 1.7 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.