Xpect
FC Volendam vs VVV Venlo: prediction and statistics
Netherlands · Eerste Divisie · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.3 corners in the match: FC Volendam 5.2, VVV Venlo 5.1. In a typical match of this competition — 10.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 58% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 58%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards: FC Volendam 1.5, VVV Venlo 2.0; typical match of the competition — 3.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 28% (typical match — 24%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 72%, typical match 76%.
Result
Market line without margin: FC Volendam win 55%, draw 20%, VVV Venlo win 25%. Over 2.5 goals — 74%, both teams to score — 71%.
Form
FC Volendam: last five matches — L-L-W-W-W.
- 3 wins in a row · at home
- 3 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · at home
VVV Venlo: last five matches — L-L-W-L-W.
- 5 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Table: FC Volendam — 13, VVV Venlo — 3 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
FC Volendam at home and VVV Venlo away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| FC Volendam | VVV Venlo | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 23 | 41 |
| Win rate | 78% | 32% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78% | 68% |
| Both teams score | 52% | 54% |
| Total corners per match | 10.6 | 11.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 64% | 71% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.1 | 3.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 20% | 21% |
Head to head
6 meetings in our database: FC Volendam won 3, 1 draws, VVV Venlo won 2. Per match: 2.5 goals, 11.3 corners, 4.0 yellow cards.
- 22.02.2025: VVV Venlo 1:3 FC Volendam
- 27.09.2024: FC Volendam 2:4 VVV Venlo
- 04.03.2022: VVV Venlo 0:0 FC Volendam
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in FC Volendam vs VVV Venlo?
Our model expects 10.3 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 58%.
How many yellow cards in FC Volendam vs VVV Venlo?
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 28%.
Who is more likely to win FC Volendam vs VVV Venlo?
Market line without margin: FC Volendam 55%, draw 20%, VVV Venlo 25%.