Fethiyespor vs Eyüpspor: prediction and statistics

Türkiye · Turkish Cup · 4 November 2026 · kick-off 10:00 UTC

Team stats: Fethiyespor · Eyüpspor

Key facts

Eyüpspor is the more likely winner in our model: 54%, draw 24%.
Over 2.5 goals happened in 67% of Fethiyespor’s home matches and 83% of Eyüpspor’s away matches over three seasons.

Result

Final score 2:4.

Result

Our model: Fethiyespor win 22%, draw 24%, Eyüpspor win 54%. Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 50%.

Form

Fethiyespor: last five matches — D-L-D-L-D.

10 matches without a win · at home
3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
3 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions

Eyüpspor: last five matches — L-L-L-L-L.

7 matches without a win · away
7 losses in a row · all competitions

Team statistics for three seasons

Fethiyespor at home and Eyüpspor away, 2024/25–2026/27.

	Fethiyespor	Eyüpspor
Matches	6	6
Win rate	50%	0%
Goals scored per match	2.5	0.8
Goals conceded per match	2.0	3.7
Over 2.5 goals	67%	83%
Both teams score	67%	67%
Total corners per match	—	9.3
Over 9.5 corners	—	33%
Total yellow cards per match	1.4	2.5
Over 4.5 yellow cards	20%	17%

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

Who is more likely to win Fethiyespor vs Eyüpspor?

Our model: Fethiyespor 22%, draw 24%, Eyüpspor 54%.