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Feyenoord Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar: prediction and statistics
Netherlands · Eredivisie · 10 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.5 corners in the match: Feyenoord Rotterdam 6.0, AZ Alkmaar 4.5. In a typical match of this competition — 10.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 60% (typical match — 58%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 60%, typical match 58%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.4 yellow cards: Feyenoord Rotterdam 1.5, AZ Alkmaar 1.9; typical match of the competition — 3.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 26% (typical match — 24%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 74%, typical match 76%.
Result
Market line without margin: Feyenoord Rotterdam win 52%, draw 23%, AZ Alkmaar win 26%. Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 65%.
Form
Feyenoord Rotterdam: last five matches — W-W-D-D-W.
- 15 matches unbeaten · at home
- 8 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 7 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
AZ Alkmaar: last five matches — W-W-W-W-L.
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: Feyenoord Rotterdam — 2, AZ Alkmaar — 1 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Feyenoord Rotterdam at home and AZ Alkmaar away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Feyenoord Rotterdam | AZ Alkmaar | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 37 | 37 |
| Win rate | 62% | 46% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 68% | 54% |
| Total corners per match | 10.3 | 10.5 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 54% | 57% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 2.5 | 4.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 14% | 41% |
Head to head
52 meetings in our database: Feyenoord Rotterdam won 28, 11 draws, AZ Alkmaar won 13. Per match: 3.1 goals, 8.7 corners, 2.2 yellow cards.
- 10.05.2026: Feyenoord Rotterdam 1:1 AZ Alkmaar
- 21.09.2025: AZ Alkmaar 3:3 Feyenoord Rotterdam
- 05.04.2025: AZ Alkmaar 0:1 Feyenoord Rotterdam
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Feyenoord Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar?
Our model expects 10.5 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 60%.
How many yellow cards in Feyenoord Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar?
Our model expects 3.4 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 26%.
Who is more likely to win Feyenoord Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar?
Market line without margin: Feyenoord Rotterdam 52%, draw 23%, AZ Alkmaar 26%.