Xpect
Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale: prediction and statistics
England · League Two · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.8 corners in the match: Fleetwood Town 5.6, Rochdale 4.2. In a typical match of this competition — 9.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 52% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 61%, typical match 60%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards: Fleetwood Town 2.0, Rochdale 1.9; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 35% (typical match — 32%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 55%, typical match 51%.
Result
Market line without margin: Fleetwood Town win 50%, draw 26%, Rochdale win 24%. Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 52%.
Form
Fleetwood Town: last five matches — D-W-D-W-W.
- 8 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Rochdale: last five matches — D-L-L-L-D.
- 6 matches without a win · away
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · away
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Fleetwood Town — 11, Rochdale — 17 (of 24).
Team statistics for three seasons
Fleetwood Town at home and Rochdale away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Fleetwood Town | Rochdale | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 49 | 3 |
| Win rate | 33% | 0% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 33% |
| Both teams score | 59% | 0% |
| Total corners per match | 9.6 | 11.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 55% | 67% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.9 | 4.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 35% | 33% |
Head to head
20 meetings in our database: Fleetwood Town won 7, 8 draws, Rochdale won 5. Per match: 2.2 goals, 9.2 corners, 3.2 yellow cards.
- 10.04.2021: Fleetwood Town 1:0 Rochdale
- 03.10.2020: Rochdale 2:1 Fleetwood Town
- 26.12.2019: Rochdale 2:3 Fleetwood Town
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale?
Our model expects 9.8 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 52%.
How many yellow cards in Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale?
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 35%.
Who is more likely to win Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale?
Market line without margin: Fleetwood Town 50%, draw 26%, Rochdale 24%.