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Flint Town United vs Ammanford AFC: prediction and statistics

Wales · Premier League · 26 September 2026 · kick-off

Yellow cards

67%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 3.8 yellow cards: Flint Town United 1.8, Ammanford AFC 2.0; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 34% (typical match — 37%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 67%, typical match 63%.

Result

Market line without margin: Flint Town United win 61%, draw 23%, Ammanford AFC win 16%. Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 58%.

Form

Flint Town United: last five matches — L-L-L-L-D.

Ammanford AFC: last five matches — L-L-D-L-D.

Table: Flint Town United — 15, Ammanford AFC — 14 (of 16).

Team statistics for three seasons

Flint Town United at home and Ammanford AFC away, 2024/25–2026/27.

Flint Town UnitedAmmanford AFC
Matches365
Win rate33%0%
Goals scored per match1.40.8
Goals conceded per match1.51.8
Over 2.5 goals61%40%
Both teams score56%60%
Total corners per match——
Over 9.5 corners——
Total yellow cards per match3.43.2
Over 4.5 yellow cards36%20%

Referee

M. James: 12 matches in our database, 4.0 yellow cards per match (competition average 3.6); over 4.5 cards in 25% of matches.

All numbers in the Xpect app

Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.

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How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

How many yellow cards in Flint Town United vs Ammanford AFC?

Our model expects 3.8 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 34%.

Who is more likely to win Flint Town United vs Ammanford AFC?

Market line without margin: Flint Town United 61%, draw 23%, Ammanford AFC 16%.

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