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Fortuna Sittard vs FC Twente: prediction and statistics
Netherlands · Eredivisie · 10 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.5 corners in the match: Fortuna Sittard 5.0, FC Twente 5.5. In a typical match of this competition — 10.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 61% (typical match — 58%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 61%, typical match 58%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.4 yellow cards: Fortuna Sittard 1.8, FC Twente 1.6; typical match of the competition — 3.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 25% (typical match — 24%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 75%, typical match 76%.
Result
Market line without margin: Fortuna Sittard win 15%, draw 19%, FC Twente win 67%. Over 2.5 goals — 70%, both teams to score — 61%.
Form
Fortuna Sittard: last five matches — W-W-W-L-L.
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · at home
FC Twente: last five matches — L-D-W-W-D.
- 6 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Fortuna Sittard — 6, FC Twente — 4 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Fortuna Sittard at home and FC Twente away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Fortuna Sittard | FC Twente | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 37 | 37 |
| Win rate | 43% | 32% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 54% | 76% |
| Total corners per match | 11.0 | 10.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 57% | 60% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.4 | 3.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 24% | 24% |
Head to head
18 meetings in our database: Fortuna Sittard won 4, 3 draws, FC Twente won 11. Per match: 2.8 goals, 9.2 corners, 3.6 yellow cards.
- 21.03.2026: Fortuna Sittard 1:2 FC Twente
- 26.09.2025: FC Twente 3:2 Fortuna Sittard
- 05.04.2025: FC Twente 1:1 Fortuna Sittard
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Fortuna Sittard vs FC Twente?
Our model expects 10.5 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 61%.
How many yellow cards in Fortuna Sittard vs FC Twente?
Our model expects 3.4 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 25%.
Who is more likely to win Fortuna Sittard vs FC Twente?
Market line without margin: Fortuna Sittard 15%, draw 19%, FC Twente 67%.