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Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa: prediction and statistics
Türkiye · Süper Lig · 9 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.4 corners in the match: Galatasaray 5.7, Kasimpasa 3.7. In a typical match of this competition — 9.6. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 46% (typical match — 49%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 54%, typical match 51%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.8 yellow cards: Galatasaray 2.2, Kasimpasa 2.6; typical match of the competition — 4.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 52% (typical match — 51%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 52%, typical match 51%.
Result
Market line without margin: Galatasaray win 75%, draw 17%, Kasimpasa win 9%. Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 50%.
Form
Galatasaray: last five matches — D-L-D-W-W.
- 3 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
Kasimpasa: last five matches — L-L-W-D-W.
- 12 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Galatasaray — 2, Kasimpasa — 8 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Galatasaray at home and Kasimpasa away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Galatasaray | Kasimpasa | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 38 | 38 |
| Win rate | 79% | 29% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 63% |
| Both teams score | 58% | 63% |
| Total corners per match | 10.1 | 9.1 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 57% | 35% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.8 | 5.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 40% | 49% |
Head to head
34 meetings in our database: Galatasaray won 21, 5 draws, Kasimpasa won 8. Per match: 3.4 goals, 9.5 corners, 3.0 yellow cards.
- 17.05.2026: Kasimpasa 1:0 Galatasaray
- 21.12.2025: Galatasaray 3:0 Kasimpasa
- 02.03.2025: Kasimpasa 3:3 Galatasaray
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa?
Our model expects 9.4 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 46%.
How many yellow cards in Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa?
Our model expects 4.8 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 52%.
Who is more likely to win Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa?
Market line without margin: Galatasaray 75%, draw 17%, Kasimpasa 9%.