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Galway United vs Shelbourne: prediction and statistics
Ireland · Premier Division · 25 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.0 corners in the match: Galway United 5.1, Shelbourne 4.9. In a typical match of this competition — 9.9. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 54% (typical match — 53%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 54%, typical match 53%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards: Galway United 1.9, Shelbourne 2.5; typical match of the competition — 4.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 44% (typical match — 53%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 56%, typical match 47%.
Result
Market line without margin: Galway United win 37%, draw 27%, Shelbourne win 37%. Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 59%.
Form
Galway United: last five matches — D-D-D-D-L.
- 5 matches without a win · at home
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Shelbourne: last five matches — L-L-D-D-W.
- 3 matches unbeaten · away
Table: Galway United — 7, Shelbourne — 6 (of 10).
Team statistics for three seasons
Galway United at home and Shelbourne away, 2024–2026.
| Galway United | Shelbourne | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 51 | 51 |
| Win rate | 37% | 41% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 37% |
| Both teams score | 55% | 57% |
| Total corners per match | 10.1 | 9.2 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 54% | 43% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.4 | 5.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 44% | 63% |
Head to head
19 meetings in our database: Galway United won 3, 8 draws, Shelbourne won 8. Per match: 2.4 goals, 10.2 corners, 4.8 yellow cards.
- 28.08.2026: Galway United 1:1 Shelbourne
- 29.05.2026: Shelbourne 1:1 Galway United
- 20.02.2026: Shelbourne 1:1 Galway United
Referee
Robert Hennessy: 62 matches in our database, 4.7 yellow cards per match (competition average 4.9); over 4.5 cards in 53% of matches.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Galway United vs Shelbourne?
Our model expects 10.0 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 54%.
How many yellow cards in Galway United vs Shelbourne?
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 44%.
Who is more likely to win Galway United vs Shelbourne?
Market line without margin: Galway United 37%, draw 27%, Shelbourne 37%.