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Gangwon FC vs Incheon United: prediction and statistics
South Korea · K League 1 · 27 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 8.7 corners in the match: Gangwon FC 4.7, Incheon United 4.0. In a typical match of this competition — 8.6. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 37% (typical match — 36%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 50%, typical match 49%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards: Gangwon FC 2.2, Incheon United 1.9; typical match of the competition — 3.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 39% (typical match — 28%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 58%, typical match 47%.
Result
Market line without margin: Gangwon FC win 39%, draw 31%, Incheon United win 31%. Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 46%.
Form
Gangwon FC: last five matches — L-D-D-D-L.
- 7 matches without a win · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
Incheon United: last five matches — D-W-L-L-L.
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 losses in a row · away
- 3 matches without a win · away
Table: Gangwon FC — 5, Incheon United — 8 (of 12).
Team statistics for three seasons
Gangwon FC at home and Incheon United away, 2024–2026.
| Gangwon FC | Incheon United | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 52 | 33 |
| Win rate | 42% | 33% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 52% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 52% |
| Total corners per match | 9.0 | 8.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 46% | 18% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.8 | 2.8 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 31% | 21% |
Head to head
25 meetings in our database: Gangwon FC won 13, 5 draws, Incheon United won 7. Per match: 2.8 goals, 9.3 corners, 3.1 yellow cards.
- 02.05.2026: Incheon United 0:1 Gangwon FC
- 06.10.2024: Incheon United 1:3 Gangwon FC
- 30.06.2024: Incheon United 0:1 Gangwon FC
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Gangwon FC vs Incheon United?
Our model expects 8.7 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 37%.
How many yellow cards in Gangwon FC vs Incheon United?
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 39%.
Who is more likely to win Gangwon FC vs Incheon United?
Market line without margin: Gangwon FC 39%, draw 31%, Incheon United 31%.