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Gardnersville vs NPA Anchors: prediction and statistics
Liberia · LFA First Division · 4 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Gardnersville · NPA Anchors
Key facts
- Gardnersville is the more likely winner in our model: 79%, draw 13%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 62% of Gardnersville’s home matches and 54% of NPA Anchors’s away matches over three seasons.
Result
Final score 2:2.
Result
Our model: Gardnersville win 79%, draw 13%, NPA Anchors win 8%. Over 2.5 goals — 71%, both teams to score — 53%.
Form
Gardnersville: last five matches — L-W-L-W-D.
NPA Anchors: last five matches — L-L-L-L-L.
- 14 losses in a row · away
- 14 matches without a win · away
Team statistics for three seasons
Gardnersville at home and NPA Anchors away, 2023–2025.
| Gardnersville | NPA Anchors | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 13 | 13 |
| Win rate | 46% | 0% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.9 | 2.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 54% |
| Both teams score | 77% | 31% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Gardnersville vs NPA Anchors?
Our model: Gardnersville 79%, draw 13%, NPA Anchors 8%.