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Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin Tucuman: prediction and statistics
Argentina · Primera Nacional · 28 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.3 yellow cards: Gimnasia Jujuy 2.2, San Martin Tucuman 3.1; typical match of the competition — 4.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 60% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 60%, typical match 54%.
Result
Market line without margin: Gimnasia Jujuy win 43%, draw 32%, San Martin Tucuman win 26%. Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 46%.
Form
Gimnasia Jujuy: last five matches — W-L-W-D-W.
- 6 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
San Martin Tucuman: last five matches — D-L-W-L-L.
Table: Gimnasia Jujuy — 5, San Martin Tucuman — 18 (of 36).
Team statistics for three seasons
Gimnasia Jujuy at home and San Martin Tucuman away, 2024–2026.
| Gimnasia Jujuy | San Martin Tucuman | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 52 | 55 |
| Win rate | 63% | 40% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 24% |
| Both teams score | 33% | 33% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.3 | 5.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 44% | 60% |
Head to head
8 meetings in our database: Gimnasia Jujuy won 1, 2 draws, San Martin Tucuman won 5. Per match: 1.9 goals, 3.4 yellow cards.
- 13.05.2026: San Martin Tucuman 2:0 Gimnasia Jujuy
- 23.06.2024: Gimnasia Jujuy 2:0 San Martin Tucuman
- 03.02.2024: San Martin Tucuman 1:0 Gimnasia Jujuy
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin Tucuman?
Our model expects 5.3 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 60%.
Who is more likely to win Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin Tucuman?
Market line without margin: Gimnasia Jujuy 43%, draw 32%, San Martin Tucuman 26%.