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Girona vs Albacete: prediction and statistics

Spain · Segunda · 25 September 2026 · kick-off

Corners

53%

Corners under 9.5

Our model expects 9.5 corners in the match: Girona 5.3, Albacete 4.1. In a typical match of this competition — 9.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 48% (typical match — 46%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 61%, typical match 59%.

Yellow cards

54%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards: Girona 2.1, Albacete 2.4; typical match of the competition — 5.1. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 46% (typical match — 57%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 54%, typical match 43%.

Result

Market line without margin: Girona win 62%, draw 22%, Albacete win 16%. Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 56%.

Form

Girona: last five matches — D-D-D-W-L.

Albacete: last five matches — W-L-L-L-D.

Table: Girona — 8, Albacete — 21 (of 22).

Team statistics for three seasons

Girona at home and Albacete away, 2024/25–2026/27.

GironaAlbacete
Matches345
Win rate33%24%
Goals scored per match2.31.1
Goals conceded per match1.71.3
Over 2.5 goals67%42%
Both teams score100%53%
Total corners per match9.710.2
Over 9.5 corners33%56%
Total yellow cards per match4.74.4
Over 4.5 yellow cards67%38%

Head to head

4 meetings in our database: Girona won 2, 1 draws, Albacete won 1. Per match: 2.0 goals, 5.5 corners, 5.0 yellow cards.

Referee

Saul Ais Reig: 213 matches in our database, 4.7 yellow cards per match (competition average 5.0); over 4.5 cards in 51% of matches.

All numbers in the Xpect app

Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.

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How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

How many corners in Girona vs Albacete?

Our model expects 9.5 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 48%.

How many yellow cards in Girona vs Albacete?

Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 46%.

Who is more likely to win Girona vs Albacete?

Market line without margin: Girona 62%, draw 22%, Albacete 16%.

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