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Goias vs Atletico Goianiense: prediction and statistics
Brazil · Serie B · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.3 corners in the match: Goias 5.7, Atletico Goianiense 4.7. In a typical match of this competition — 10.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 59% (typical match — 58%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 59%, typical match 58%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards: Goias 2.3, Atletico Goianiense 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 49% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 51%, typical match 46%.
Result
Market line without margin: Goias win 37%, draw 30%, Atletico Goianiense win 33%. Over 2.5 goals — 36%, both teams to score — 44%.
Form
Goias: last five matches — W-L-W-L-W.
- 4 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Atletico Goianiense: last five matches — D-D-W-D-L.
Table: Goias — 11, Atletico Goianiense — 7 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Goias at home and Atletico Goianiense away, 2024–2026.
| Goias | Atletico Goianiense | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 52 | 33 |
| Win rate | 60% | 18% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 33% |
| Both teams score | 44% | 49% |
| Total corners per match | 10.5 | 10.4 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 59% | 70% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.5 | 4.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 45% | 55% |
Head to head
15 meetings in our database: Goias won 8, 4 draws, Atletico Goianiense won 3. Per match: 2.7 goals, 10.8 corners, 5.1 yellow cards.
- 30.05.2026: Atletico Goianiense 1:1 Goias
- 01.10.2025: Goias 0:0 Atletico Goianiense
- 31.05.2025: Atletico Goianiense 1:2 Goias
Referee
Wilton Sampaio: 22 matches in our database, 5.6 yellow cards per match (competition average 5.0); over 4.5 cards in 59% of matches.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Goias vs Atletico Goianiense?
Our model expects 10.3 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 59%.
How many yellow cards in Goias vs Atletico Goianiense?
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 49%.
Who is more likely to win Goias vs Atletico Goianiense?
Market line without margin: Goias 37%, draw 30%, Atletico Goianiense 33%.