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Green Buffaloes vs ZESCO United: prediction and statistics
Zambia · Super League · 5 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Green Buffaloes · ZESCO United
Key facts
- No clear favourite in our model: 26% – 32% – 42%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 27% of Green Buffaloes’s home matches and 27% of ZESCO United’s away matches over three seasons.
Result
Final score 0:0.
Result
Our model: Green Buffaloes win 26%, draw 32%, ZESCO United win 42%. Over 2.5 goals — 27%, both teams to score — 34%.
Form
Green Buffaloes: last five matches — D-D-D-W-W.
- 9 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
- 6 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 5 matches unbeaten · at home
ZESCO United: last five matches — W-D-L-W-W.
- 3 wins in a row · all competitions
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Team statistics for three seasons
Green Buffaloes at home and ZESCO United away, 2024–2026.
| Green Buffaloes | ZESCO United | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 34 | 34 |
| Win rate | 32% | 35% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 27% | 27% |
| Both teams score | 44% | 38% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Head to head
28 meetings in our database: Green Buffaloes won 5, 11 draws, ZESCO United won 12. Per match: 2.0 goals.
- 01.04.2026: ZESCO United 1:0 Green Buffaloes
- 02.11.2025: Green Buffaloes 2:1 ZESCO United
- 13.03.2025: ZESCO United 1:0 Green Buffaloes
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Green Buffaloes vs ZESCO United?
Our model: Green Buffaloes 26%, draw 32%, ZESCO United 42%.