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Gremio vs Internacional: prediction and statistics
Brazil · Serie A · 11 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.9 corners in the match: Gremio 5.2, Internacional 4.8. In a typical match of this competition — 10.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 54% (typical match — 59%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 59%, typical match 54%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.1 yellow cards: Gremio 2.5, Internacional 2.6; typical match of the competition — 4.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 58% (typical match — 55%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 58%, typical match 55%.
Result
Market line without margin: Gremio win 40%, draw 28%, Internacional win 32%. Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 52%.
Form
Gremio: last five matches — W-W-W-L-D.
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
Internacional: last five matches — D-L-L-W-L.
- 3 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · all competitions
Table: Gremio — 17, Internacional — 18 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Gremio at home and Internacional away, 2024–2026.
| Gremio | Internacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 52 | 52 |
| Win rate | 48% | 25% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 46% |
| Both teams score | 54% | 58% |
| Total corners per match | 9.6 | 9.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 48% | 46% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.3 | 5.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 64% | 58% |
Head to head
49 meetings in our database: Gremio won 18, 17 draws, Internacional won 14. Per match: 2.1 goals, 9.2 corners, 5.2 yellow cards.
- 03.09.2026: Gremio 3:1 Internacional
- 27.08.2026: Internacional 0:0 Gremio
- 11.04.2026: Internacional 0:0 Gremio
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Gremio vs Internacional?
Our model expects 9.9 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 54%.
How many yellow cards in Gremio vs Internacional?
Our model expects 5.1 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 58%.
Who is more likely to win Gremio vs Internacional?
Market line without margin: Gremio 40%, draw 28%, Internacional 32%.