H&H Export vs Matagalpa: prediction and statistics

Nicaragua · Primera División · 4 November 2026 · kick-off 21:00 UTC

Team stats: H&H Export · Matagalpa

Key facts

• H&H Export is the more likely winner in our model: 55%, draw 22%.
• Over 2.5 goals happened in 51% of H&H Export’s home matches and 41% of Matagalpa’s away matches over three seasons.

Result

Our model: H&H Export win 55%, draw 22%, Matagalpa win 24%. Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 61%.

Form

H&H Export: last five matches — L-L-W-L-L.

• 4 losses in a row · all competitions
• 4 matches without a win · all competitions
• 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions

Matagalpa: last five matches — L-W-L-D-L.

• 7 matches without a win · all competitions
• 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
• 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions

Table: H&H Export — 7, Matagalpa — 10 (of 10).

Team statistics for three seasons

H&H Export at home and Matagalpa away, 2024–2026.

Head to head

18 meetings in our database: H&H Export won 4, 7 draws, Matagalpa won 7. Per match: 2.8 goals, 0.1 yellow cards.

• 19.07.2026: Matagalpa 0:3 H&H Export
• 26.02.2026: Matagalpa 2:1 H&H Export
• 19.01.2026: H&H Export 0:1 Matagalpa

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers