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Havelse vs FC Viktoria Köln: prediction and statistics
Germany · 3. Liga · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Havelse · FC Viktoria Köln
Before kick-off
Havelse host FC Viktoria Köln in 3. Liga on 20 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: FC Viktoria Köln are 1st of 20, Havelse 20th — a gap of 19 places. Havelse are in the bottom three.
Havelse have blown hot and cold: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. Recent results of FC Viktoria Köln are mostly positive — 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 5 games.
The home record of Havelse (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 9 wins, 7 draws and 10 defeats in 26 matches, 1.7 scored and 2.1 conceded per game. Away from home FC Viktoria Köln have 17 wins, 8 draws and 19 defeats in 44 matches, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.3 per game.
The 4 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Havelse 2, FC Viktoria Köln 1, draws 1. Last time out (14 March 2026) it ended Havelse 3:2 FC Viktoria Köln. On average these meetings produce 2.8 goals.
Form
Havelse: last five matches — D-L-D-W-D.
- 9 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 3 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
FC Viktoria Köln: last five matches — L-W-W-D-W.
- 10 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 3 wins in a row · all competitions
Table: Havelse — 20, FC Viktoria Köln — 1 (of 20).
Home and away record
Havelse at home and FC Viktoria Köln away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Havelse | FC Viktoria Köln | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 26 | 44 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 9-7-10 | 17-8-19 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.1 | 1.3 |
Head to head
4 meetings in our database: Havelse won 2, 1 draws, FC Viktoria Köln won 1. Per match: 2.8 goals.
- 14.03.2026: Havelse 3:2 FC Viktoria Köln
- 04.10.2025: FC Viktoria Köln 4:1 Havelse
- 25.02.2022: FC Viktoria Köln 0:0 Havelse
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- FC Viktoria Köln should win the corner count: 5.5 expected against 4.4 for Havelse.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 73% of Havelse home games and 52% of FC Viktoria Köln away games.
- Our model makes FC Viktoria Köln the favourite at 70%; a draw is 16%.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.8 corners in the match: Havelse 4.4, FC Viktoria Köln 5.5. In a typical match of this competition — 10.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 52% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 60%, typical match 57%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards: Havelse 2.5, FC Viktoria Köln 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 50% (typical match — 48%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 68%, typical match 67%.
Result
Our model: Havelse win 14%, draw 16%, FC Viktoria Köln win 70%. Over 2.5 goals — 76%, both teams to score — 66%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Havelse | FC Viktoria Köln | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 35% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 52% |
| Both teams score | 77% | 59% |
| Total corners per match | 10.0 | 9.4 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 56% | 50% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.7 | 5.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 58% | 59% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 11.0 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.8 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.