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Helmond Sport vs Dordrecht: prediction and statistics
Netherlands · Eerste Divisie · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Helmond Sport · Dordrecht
Before kick-off
Helmond Sport host Dordrecht in Eerste Divisie on 20 November 2026. Very little separates them in the standings — Helmond Sport are 17th, Dordrecht 18th in a table of 20. Dordrecht are fighting at the wrong end of the table.
Results have gone against Helmond Sport recently — 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from the last 5 games. Dordrecht are in a difficult spell: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. Measured in points the two runs are close — 4 and 4.
The home record of Helmond Sport (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 18 wins, 14 draws and 14 defeats in 46 matches, 1.7 scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Away from home Dordrecht have 15 wins, 9 draws and 21 defeats in 45 matches, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.7 per game.
The 21 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Helmond Sport 6, Dordrecht 11, draws 4. Last time out (3 February 2026) it ended Dordrecht 3:0 Helmond Sport. On average these meetings produce 2.8 goals.
Form
Helmond Sport: last five matches — D-L-L-W-L.
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Dordrecht: last five matches — L-L-D-W-L.
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
Table: Helmond Sport — 17, Dordrecht — 18 (of 20).
Home and away record
Helmond Sport at home and Dordrecht away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Helmond Sport | Dordrecht | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 46 | 45 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 18-14-14 | 15-9-21 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.7 |
Head to head
21 meetings in our database: Helmond Sport won 6, 4 draws, Dordrecht won 11. Per match: 2.8 goals.
- 03.02.2026: Dordrecht 3:0 Helmond Sport
- 24.10.2025: Helmond Sport 1:2 Dordrecht
- 08.02.2025: Helmond Sport 0:1 Dordrecht
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 61% of Helmond Sport home games and 60% of Dordrecht away games.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.9 corners in the match: Helmond Sport 4.5, Dordrecht 5.4. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 53% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 60%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.8 yellow cards: Helmond Sport 1.8, Dordrecht 2.0; typical match of the competition — 3.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 33% (typical match — 24%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 52%, typical match 43%.
Result
Our model: Helmond Sport win 49%, draw 23%, Dordrecht win 28%. Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 64%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Helmond Sport | Dordrecht | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 39% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 70% | 58% |
| Total corners per match | 10.4 | 10.4 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 63% | 56% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.6 | 4.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 30% | 38% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 10.0 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.6 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.