XpectXpect

Hull City vs Everton: prediction and statistics

England · Premier League · 11 October 2026 · kick-off

Corners

55%

Corners over 9.5

Our model expects 10.0 corners in the match: Hull City 5.4, Everton 4.7. In a typical match of this competition — 10.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 55% (typical match — 59%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 58%, typical match 53%.

Yellow cards

66%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 3.8 yellow cards: Hull City 2.0, Everton 1.8; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 34% (typical match — 31%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 53%, typical match 50%.

Result

Market line without margin: Hull City win 27%, draw 28%, Everton win 45%. Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 48%.

Form

Hull City: last five matches — D-W-D-W-D.

Everton: last five matches — L-W-W-D-D.

Table: Hull City — 8, Everton — 7 (of 21).

Team statistics for three seasons

Hull City at home and Everton away, 2024/25–2026/27.

Hull CityEverton
Matches240
Win rate50%33%
Goals scored per match1.00.9
Goals conceded per match0.01.1
Over 2.5 goals0%30%
Both teams score0%43%
Total corners per match7.010.1
Over 9.5 corners0%57%
Total yellow cards per match2.53.4
Over 4.5 yellow cards0%35%

Head to head

11 meetings in our database: Hull City won 2, 4 draws, Everton won 5. Per match: 3.5 goals, 9.7 corners, 3.2 yellow cards.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

All numbers in the Xpect app

Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.

Coming soon to the App Store and Google PlayAbout the app

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

How many corners in Hull City vs Everton?

Our model expects 10.0 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 55%.

How many yellow cards in Hull City vs Everton?

Our model expects 3.8 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 34%.

Who is more likely to win Hull City vs Everton?

Market line without margin: Hull City 27%, draw 28%, Everton 45%.

Other matches