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Imabari vs Shonan Bellmare: prediction and statistics
Japan · J2 League · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 2.9 yellow cards: Imabari 1.5, Shonan Bellmare 1.4; typical match of the competition — 2.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 17% (typical match — 11%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 84%, typical match 89%.
Result
Market line without margin: Imabari win 30%, draw 28%, Shonan Bellmare win 42%. Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 52%.
Form
Imabari: last five matches — D-L-W-L-W.
Shonan Bellmare: last five matches — W-D-D-D-W.
- 5 matches unbeaten · away
Table: Imabari — 20, Shonan Bellmare — 6 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Imabari at home and Shonan Bellmare away, 2024–2026.
| Imabari | Shonan Bellmare | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 22 | 4 |
| Win rate | 23% | 50% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 25% |
| Both teams score | 55% | 25% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 2.8 | 2.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 18% | 0% |
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Imabari vs Shonan Bellmare?
Our model expects 2.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 17%.
Who is more likely to win Imabari vs Shonan Bellmare?
Market line without margin: Imabari 30%, draw 28%, Shonan Bellmare 42%.