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Imisli FK vs Zira: prediction and statistics
Azerbaijan · Premier League · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Before kick-off
Imisli FK host Zira in Premier League on 20 November 2026. In the standings Imisli FK are 8th and Zira 5th out of 12 teams.
Imisli FK have been solid lately: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. The last 5 games brought Zira no victory — 3 draws and 2 defeats. Counted in points, Imisli FK took 10 from that stretch and Zira only 3.
Home matches have been a struggle for Imisli FK (2024/25–2026/27) — 2 wins, 11 draws and 8 defeats in 21 games, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.4 on average. On the road Zira are a dangerous side — 18 wins, 10 draws and 10 defeats in 38 away matches, 1.3 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Draws are a feature of this pairing — 3 in 4 meetings. Last time out (22 August 2026) it ended Zira 3:1 Imisli FK. On average these meetings produce 1.5 goals.
Form
Imisli FK: last five matches — L-W-W-W-D.
- 4 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Zira: last five matches — L-L-D-D-D.
- 6 matches without a win · away
- 6 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 6 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Table: Imisli FK — 8, Zira — 5 (of 12).
Home and away record
Imisli FK at home and Zira away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Imisli FK | Zira | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 21 | 38 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 2-11-8 | 18-10-10 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.6 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.1 |
Head to head
4 meetings in our database: Imisli FK won 0, 3 draws, Zira won 1. Per match: 1.5 goals.
- 22.08.2026: Zira 3:1 Imisli FK
- 08.05.2026: Imisli FK 0:0 Zira
- 20.12.2025: Zira 0:0 Imisli FK
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- 3 of the 4 meetings between these teams ended in a draw.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 33% of Imisli FK home games and 40% of Zira away games.
- Our model makes Zira the favourite at 53%; a draw is 27%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.7 yellow cards: Imisli FK 1.9, Zira 1.8; typical match of the competition — 4.4. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 31% (typical match — 45%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 69%, typical match 55%.
Result
Our model: Imisli FK win 21%, draw 27%, Zira win 53%. Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 43%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Imisli FK | Zira | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 10% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 40% |
| Both teams score | 38% | 42% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.9 | 3.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 40% | 18% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.5 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.