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Independiente vs Instituto Cordoba: prediction and statistics
Argentina · Liga Profesional · 2 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.4 corners in the match: Independiente 5.2, Instituto Cordoba 4.2. In a typical match of this competition — 9.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 47% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 54%, typical match 53%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards: Independiente 2.4, Instituto Cordoba 2.5; typical match of the competition — 5.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 54% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 72%, typical match 74%.
Result
Market line without margin: Independiente win 40%, draw 32%, Instituto Cordoba win 28%. Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 47%.
Form
Independiente: last five matches — W-L-D-L-D.
- 4 matches without a win · at home
- 4 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · at home
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Instituto Cordoba: last five matches — W-W-D-D-L.
- 4 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 matches without a win · away
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: Independiente — 11, Instituto Cordoba — 9 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
Independiente at home and Instituto Cordoba away, 2024–2026.
| Independiente | Instituto Cordoba | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 45 | 44 |
| Win rate | 49% | 20% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 30% |
| Both teams score | 36% | 39% |
| Total corners per match | 9.3 | 9.5 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 51% | 48% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.1 | 5.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 49% | 57% |
Head to head
9 meetings in our database: Independiente won 4, 3 draws, Instituto Cordoba won 2. Per match: 2.2 goals, 9.7 corners, 7.6 yellow cards.
- 17.03.2026: Instituto Cordoba 2:1 Independiente
- 30.08.2025: Instituto Cordoba 0:0 Independiente
- 22.02.2025: Independiente 2:0 Instituto Cordoba
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Independiente vs Instituto Cordoba?
Our model expects 9.4 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 47%.
How many yellow cards in Independiente vs Instituto Cordoba?
Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 54%.
Who is more likely to win Independiente vs Instituto Cordoba?
Market line without margin: Independiente 40%, draw 32%, Instituto Cordoba 28%.