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Inter Miami vs DC United: prediction and statistics
USA · MLS · 10 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.1 corners in the match: Inter Miami 6.0, DC United 4.1. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 56% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 56%, typical match 54%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards: Inter Miami 2.3, DC United 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 46% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 65%, typical match 57%.
Result
Market line without margin: Inter Miami win 70%, draw 18%, DC United win 12%. Over 2.5 goals — 73%, both teams to score — 63%.
Form
Inter Miami: last five matches — W-D-D-W-D.
- 5 matches unbeaten · at home
DC United: last five matches — D-D-D-L-D.
- 5 matches without a win · away
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · away
Table: Inter Miami — 5, DC United — 24 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
Inter Miami at home and DC United away, 2024–2026.
| Inter Miami | DC United | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 53 | 46 |
| Win rate | 58% | 24% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 81% | 61% |
| Both teams score | 81% | 65% |
| Total corners per match | 9.1 | 10.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 42% | 52% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.1 | 4.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 34% | 44% |
Head to head
12 meetings in our database: Inter Miami won 5, 3 draws, DC United won 4. Per match: 3.2 goals, 9.2 corners, 5.4 yellow cards.
- 07.03.2026: DC United 1:2 Inter Miami
- 20.09.2025: Inter Miami 3:2 DC United
- 23.08.2025: DC United 1:1 Inter Miami
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Inter Miami vs DC United?
Our model expects 10.1 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 56%.
How many yellow cards in Inter Miami vs DC United?
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 46%.
Who is more likely to win Inter Miami vs DC United?
Market line without margin: Inter Miami 70%, draw 18%, DC United 12%.