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Inter vs Firpo: prediction and statistics
El Salvador · Primera División · 8 November 2026 · kick-off
Key facts
- Firpo has won 3 of the last 5 meetings with Inter.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 44% of Inter home games and 69% of Firpo away games.
Result
Final score 1:2.
Result
Our model: Inter win 26%, draw 27%, Firpo win 47%. Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 47%.
Form
Inter: last five matches — D-D-D-L-D.
- 6 matches without a win · at home
Firpo: last five matches — W-D-W-D-L.
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · away
Table: Inter — 5, Firpo — 1 (of 12).
Team statistics for three seasons
Inter at home and Firpo away, 2024–2026.
| Inter | Firpo | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 32 | 55 |
| Win rate | 34% | 56% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 69% |
| Both teams score | 56% | 71% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 0% | 0% |
Head to head
5 meetings in our database: Inter won 0, 2 draws, Firpo won 3. Per match: 2.0 goals.
- 06.09.2026: Firpo 3:0 Inter
- 29.03.2026: Inter 0:3 Firpo
- 01.02.2026: Firpo 0:0 Inter
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Inter vs Firpo?
Our model: Inter 26%, draw 27%, Firpo 47%.