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Internacional vs Corinthians: prediction and statistics
Brazil · Serie A · 7 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.2 corners in the match: Internacional 6.1, Corinthians 4.1. In a typical match of this competition — 10.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 56% (typical match — 59%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 56%, typical match 54%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards: Internacional 2.4, Corinthians 2.5; typical match of the competition — 4.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 54% (typical match — 55%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 72%, typical match 72%.
Result
Market line without margin: Internacional win 44%, draw 30%, Corinthians win 26%. Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 50%.
Form
Internacional: last five matches — W-D-D-D-L.
- 4 matches without a win · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · all competitions
Corinthians: last five matches — W-D-L-D-L.
- 7 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · away
- 3 losses in a row · all competitions
Table: Internacional — 18, Corinthians — 14 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Internacional at home and Corinthians away, 2024–2026.
| Internacional | Corinthians | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 52 | 51 |
| Win rate | 42% | 24% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 43% |
| Both teams score | 58% | 51% |
| Total corners per match | 10.0 | 10.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 47% | 47% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.7 | 6.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 46% | 77% |
Head to head
35 meetings in our database: Internacional won 8, 15 draws, Corinthians won 12. Per match: 2.2 goals, 9.9 corners, 4.2 yellow cards.
- 06.08.2026: Corinthians 2:1 Internacional
- 02.08.2026: Internacional 2:0 Corinthians
- 05.04.2026: Corinthians 0:1 Internacional
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Internacional vs Corinthians?
Our model expects 10.2 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 56%.
How many yellow cards in Internacional vs Corinthians?
Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 54%.
Who is more likely to win Internacional vs Corinthians?
Market line without margin: Internacional 44%, draw 30%, Corinthians 26%.