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Internazionale vs Parma: prediction and statistics
Italy · Serie A · 10 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.8 corners in the match: Internazionale 5.9, Parma 3.9. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 52% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 61%, typical match 59%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards: Internazionale 1.7, Parma 1.8; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 27% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 55%, typical match 34%.
Result
Market line without margin: Internazionale win 85%, draw 11%, Parma win 5%. Over 2.5 goals — 72%, both teams to score — 45%.
Form
Internazionale: last five matches — D-W-W-W-W.
- 11 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 wins in a row · at home
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Parma: last five matches — L-D-D-L-L.
- 6 matches without a win · away
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Table: Internazionale — 2, Parma — 15 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Internazionale at home and Parma away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Internazionale | Parma | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 41 | 40 |
| Win rate | 73% | 20% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 43% |
| Both teams score | 61% | 48% |
| Total corners per match | 10.2 | 10.5 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 61% | 57% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 2.8 | 3.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 12% | 18% |
Head to head
54 meetings in our database: Internazionale won 24, 15 draws, Parma won 15. Per match: 2.8 goals, 10.4 corners, 3.8 yellow cards.
- 03.05.2026: Internazionale 2:0 Parma
- 07.01.2026: Parma 0:2 Internazionale
- 05.04.2025: Parma 2:2 Internazionale
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Internazionale vs Parma?
Our model expects 9.8 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 52%.
How many yellow cards in Internazionale vs Parma?
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 27%.
Who is more likely to win Internazionale vs Parma?
Market line without margin: Internazionale 85%, draw 11%, Parma 5%.