Xpect
Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan: prediction and statistics
Morocco · Botola Pro · 2 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 8.8 corners in the match: Ittihad Tanger 4.8, Moghreb Tetouan 4.1. In a typical match of this competition — 8.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 39% (typical match — 39%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 53%, typical match 52%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards: Ittihad Tanger 2.2, Moghreb Tetouan 2.5; typical match of the competition — 4.4. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 51% (typical match — 45%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 51%, typical match 45%.
Form
Ittihad Tanger: last five matches — W-W-W-D-W.
- 8 matches unbeaten · at home
Moghreb Tetouan: last five matches — D-W-D-D-L.
- 5 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches without a win · away
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · away
Team statistics for three seasons
Ittihad Tanger at home and Moghreb Tetouan away, 2023/24–2025/26.
| Ittihad Tanger | Moghreb Tetouan | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 45 | 30 |
| Win rate | 31% | 20% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 33% |
| Both teams score | 62% | 47% |
| Total corners per match | 9.7 | 7.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 56% | 22% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.8 | 3.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 51% | 30% |
Head to head
16 meetings in our database: Ittihad Tanger won 5, 6 draws, Moghreb Tetouan won 5. Per match: 1.7 goals, 4.8 yellow cards.
- 14.04.2025: Moghreb Tetouan 2:1 Ittihad Tanger
- 23.11.2024: Ittihad Tanger 1:2 Moghreb Tetouan
- 14.04.2024: Moghreb Tetouan 1:1 Ittihad Tanger
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan?
Our model expects 8.8 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 39%.
How many yellow cards in Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan?
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 51%.