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Jong Ajax vs VVV Venlo: prediction and statistics
Netherlands · Eerste Divisie · 9 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.4 corners in the match: Jong Ajax 5.3, VVV Venlo 5.1. In a typical match of this competition — 10.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 59% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 59%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.8 yellow cards: Jong Ajax 1.7, VVV Venlo 2.1; typical match of the competition — 3.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 33% (typical match — 24%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 53%, typical match 43%.
Form
Jong Ajax: last five matches — L-L-W-L-D.
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
VVV Venlo: last five matches — L-W-L-W-L.
- 6 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Jong Ajax — 15, VVV Venlo — 4 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Jong Ajax at home and VVV Venlo away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Jong Ajax | VVV Venlo | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 42 | 42 |
| Win rate | 29% | 31% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 69% |
| Both teams score | 48% | 55% |
| Total corners per match | 10.7 | 11.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 57% | 71% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.7 | 3.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 31% | 19% |
Head to head
12 meetings in our database: Jong Ajax won 6, 1 draws, VVV Venlo won 5. Per match: 3.1 goals, 10.4 corners, 3.6 yellow cards.
- 17.03.2026: VVV Venlo 0:1 Jong Ajax
- 26.09.2025: Jong Ajax 2:4 VVV Venlo
- 07.03.2025: VVV Venlo 1:0 Jong Ajax
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Jong Ajax vs VVV Venlo?
Our model expects 10.4 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 59%.
How many yellow cards in Jong Ajax vs VVV Venlo?
Our model expects 3.8 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 33%.