Xpect
Jong AZ vs Den Bosch: prediction and statistics
Netherlands · Eerste Divisie · 9 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.6 corners in the match: Jong AZ 5.4, Den Bosch 5.1. In a typical match of this competition — 10.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 61% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 61%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.4 yellow cards: Jong AZ 1.5, Den Bosch 1.9; typical match of the competition — 3.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 26% (typical match — 24%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 74%, typical match 76%.
Form
Jong AZ: last five matches — W-L-L-W-W.
- 8 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
Den Bosch: last five matches — D-L-L-L-L.
- 7 matches without a win · away
- 4 losses in a row · away
- 4 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · away
Table: Jong AZ — 8, Den Bosch — 16 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Jong AZ at home and Den Bosch away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Jong AZ | Den Bosch | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 42 | 43 |
| Win rate | 29% | 28% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 64% | 58% |
| Total corners per match | 10.6 | 11.4 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 55% | 64% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.1 | 3.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 19% | 33% |
Head to head
19 meetings in our database: Jong AZ won 5, 9 draws, Den Bosch won 5. Per match: 3.1 goals, 10.3 corners, 2.4 yellow cards.
- 23.02.2026: Jong AZ 2:2 Den Bosch
- 26.09.2025: Den Bosch 2:3 Jong AZ
- 28.04.2025: Jong AZ 0:0 Den Bosch
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Jong AZ vs Den Bosch?
Our model expects 10.6 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 61%.
How many yellow cards in Jong AZ vs Den Bosch?
Our model expects 3.4 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 26%.