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Jong Utrecht vs Emmen: prediction and statistics
Netherlands · Eerste Divisie · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Jong Utrecht · Emmen
Before kick-off
Jong Utrecht host Emmen in Eerste Divisie on 20 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Emmen are 6th of 20, Jong Utrecht 19th — a gap of 13 places. Jong Utrecht are in the bottom three.
Jong Utrecht have blown hot and cold: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. Recent results of Emmen are mostly positive — 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 5 games.
Home matches have been a struggle for Jong Utrecht (2024/25–2026/27) — 13 wins, 12 draws and 20 defeats in 45 games, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.9 on average. Away from home Emmen have 17 wins, 6 draws and 21 defeats in 44 matches, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.8 per game. Goals are rarely in short supply in these samples: 3.4 per game in home matches of Jong Utrecht and 3.2 in away matches of Emmen.
History favours Emmen — 9 wins from 12 meetings with Jong Utrecht. Last time out (2 March 2026) it ended Emmen 1:0 Jong Utrecht. On average these meetings produce 2.4 goals.
Form
Jong Utrecht: last five matches — D-W-L-L-W.
- 8 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 6 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
Emmen: last five matches — L-D-W-W-W.
- 5 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 4 matches unbeaten · away
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Table: Jong Utrecht — 19, Emmen — 6 (of 20).
Home and away record
Jong Utrecht at home and Emmen away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Jong Utrecht | Emmen | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 45 | 44 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 13-12-20 | 17-6-21 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.9 | 1.8 |
Head to head
12 meetings in our database: Jong Utrecht won 2, 1 draws, Emmen won 9. Per match: 2.4 goals.
- 02.03.2026: Emmen 1:0 Jong Utrecht
- 07.11.2025: Jong Utrecht 1:2 Emmen
- 14.03.2025: Emmen 2:0 Jong Utrecht
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Emmen should win the corner count: 5.8 expected against 4.7 for Jong Utrecht.
- Emmen has won 9 of the last 12 meetings with Jong Utrecht.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 64% of Jong Utrecht home games and 61% of Emmen away games.
- Our model sees an open game: Jong Utrecht 37%, draw 22%, Emmen 40%.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.6 corners in the match: Jong Utrecht 4.7, Emmen 5.8. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 61% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 61%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards: Jong Utrecht 1.2, Emmen 2.3; typical match of the competition — 3.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 28% (typical match — 24%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 73%, typical match 76%.
Result
Our model: Jong Utrecht win 37%, draw 22%, Emmen win 40%. Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 68%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Jong Utrecht | Emmen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 29% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 61% |
| Both teams score | 64% | 48% |
| Total corners per match | 10.1 | 10.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 60% | 59% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 2.8 | 3.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 24% | 32% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 10.0 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.6 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.