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KAA Gent vs AGF: prediction and statistics

Europe · Conference League · 15 October 2026 · kick-off

Corners

51%

Corners over 9.5

Our model expects 9.8 corners in the match: KAA Gent 5.1, AGF 4.6. In a typical match of this competition — 9.5. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 51% (typical match — 48%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 51%, typical match 48%.

Yellow cards

71%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 3.6 yellow cards: KAA Gent 1.9, AGF 1.7; typical match of the competition — 4.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 29% (typical match — 50%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 71%, typical match 50%.

Result

Market line without margin: KAA Gent win 56%, draw 24%, AGF win 21%. Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 50%.

Form

KAA Gent: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.

AGF: last five matches — L-L-L-W-D.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

All numbers in the Xpect app

Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.

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How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

How many corners in KAA Gent vs AGF?

Our model expects 9.8 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 51%.

How many yellow cards in KAA Gent vs AGF?

Our model expects 3.6 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 29%.

Who is more likely to win KAA Gent vs AGF?

Market line without margin: KAA Gent 56%, draw 24%, AGF 21%.

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