Kabwe Warriors vs Roan United: prediction and statistics

Zambia · Super League · 4 November 2026 · kick-off 13:00 UTC

Team stats: Kabwe Warriors · Roan United

Key facts

• Kabwe Warriors is the more likely winner in our model: 64%, draw 26%.

Result

Our model: Kabwe Warriors win 64%, draw 26%, Roan United win 10%. Over 2.5 goals — 30%, both teams to score — 26%.

Form

Kabwe Warriors: last five matches — W-L-W-L-D.

• 7 matches in a row without both teams scoring · at home
• 4 matches without a win · all competitions
• 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home

Roan United: last five matches — L-L-L-L-W.

• 6 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
• 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · away

Team statistics for three seasons

Kabwe Warriors at home and Roan United away, 2024–2026.

Head to head

4 meetings in our database: Kabwe Warriors won 2, 1 draws, Roan United won 1. Per match: 2.5 goals.

• 27.09.2014: Roan United 0:0 Kabwe Warriors
• 25.05.2014: Kabwe Warriors 1:4 Roan United
• 31.08.2013: Kabwe Warriors 3:1 Roan United

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers