Xpect
Karela vs Vision: prediction and statistics
Ghana · Premier League · 6 November 2026 · kick-off
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 27% of Karela’s home matches and 32% of Vision’s away matches over three seasons.
Result
Final score 0:0.
Result
Our model: Karela win 46%, draw 30%, Vision win 24%. Over 2.5 goals — 32%, both teams to score — 38%.
Form
Karela: last five matches — L-W-W-W-L.
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
Vision: last five matches — W-L-D-L-W.
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · away
Table: Karela — 15, Vision — 13 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Karela at home and Vision away, 2024–2026.
| Karela | Vision | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 37 | 37 |
| Win rate | 59% | 14% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.7 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 27% | 32% |
| Both teams score | 43% | 41% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 1.8 | 2.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 5% | 14% |
Head to head
4 meetings in our database: Karela won 1, 1 draws, Vision won 2. Per match: 1.8 goals, 1.8 yellow cards.
- 10.05.2026: Vision 3:0 Karela
- 21.12.2025: Karela 1:0 Vision
- 25.05.2025: Vision 1:0 Karela
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Karela vs Vision?
Our model: Karela 46%, draw 30%, Vision 24%.