Kariba vs CAPS United: prediction and statistics

Zimbabwe · Premier Soccer League · 7 November 2026 · kick-off 13:00 UTC

Team stats: Kariba · CAPS United

Key facts

• Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 8% of Kariba home games and 24% of CAPS United away games.
• Our model sees an open game: Kariba 28%, draw 35%, CAPS United 38%.

Result

Our model: Kariba win 28%, draw 35%, CAPS United win 38%. Over 2.5 goals — 23%, both teams to score — 31%.

Form

Kariba: last five matches — W-D-D-W-L.

• 27 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
• 5 matches in a row without both teams scoring · at home

CAPS United: last five matches — W-L-D-W-W.

• 6 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
• 5 matches in a row without both teams scoring · away
• 3 matches unbeaten · away

Table: Kariba — 14, CAPS United — 5 (of 18).

Team statistics for three seasons

Kariba at home and CAPS United away, 2024–2026.

Head to head

17 meetings in our database: Kariba won 5, 6 draws, CAPS United won 6. Per match: 1.8 goals.

• 07.06.2026: CAPS United 3:2 Kariba
• 31.08.2025: CAPS United 1:3 Kariba
• 03.05.2025: Kariba 0:0 CAPS United

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers