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Karlsruher SC vs SV Darmstadt 98: prediction and statistics
Germany · 2. Bundesliga · 18 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.4 corners in the match: Karlsruher SC 6.3, SV Darmstadt 98 4.1. In a typical match of this competition — 10.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 59% (typical match — 55%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 59%, typical match 55%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards: Karlsruher SC 2.0, SV Darmstadt 98 1.9; typical match of the competition — 4.4. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 35% (typical match — 45%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 65%, typical match 55%.
Result
Our model: Karlsruher SC win 42%, draw 22%, SV Darmstadt 98 win 36%. Over 2.5 goals — 69%, both teams to score — 69%.
Form
Karlsruher SC: last five matches — L-W-L-L-L.
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 3 losses in a row · at home
- 3 matches without a win · at home
SV Darmstadt 98: last five matches — .
Team statistics for three seasons
Karlsruher SC at home and SV Darmstadt 98 away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Karlsruher SC | SV Darmstadt 98 | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 38 | 37 |
| Win rate | 50% | 16% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 68% | 76% |
| Total corners per match | 10.1 | 10.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 47% | 57% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.0 | 4.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 55% | 43% |
Head to head
18 meetings in our database: Karlsruher SC won 7, 5 draws, SV Darmstadt 98 won 6. Per match: 2.6 goals, 10.5 corners, 3.4 yellow cards.
- 03.05.2026: Karlsruher SC 2:1 SV Darmstadt 98
- 06.12.2025: SV Darmstadt 98 3:2 Karlsruher SC
- 07.03.2025: SV Darmstadt 98 3:0 Karlsruher SC
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Karlsruher SC vs SV Darmstadt 98?
Our model expects 10.4 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 59%.
How many yellow cards in Karlsruher SC vs SV Darmstadt 98?
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 35%.
Who is more likely to win Karlsruher SC vs SV Darmstadt 98?
Our model: Karlsruher SC 42%, draw 22%, SV Darmstadt 98 36%.