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Kataller Toyama vs Yokohama FC: prediction and statistics

Japan · J2 League · 26 September 2026 · kick-off

Yellow cards

82%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 3.0 yellow cards: Kataller Toyama 1.3, Yokohama FC 1.7; typical match of the competition — 2.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 18% (typical match — 11%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 82%, typical match 89%.

Result

Market line without margin: Kataller Toyama win 35%, draw 28%, Yokohama FC win 36%. Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 61%.

Form

Kataller Toyama: last five matches — W-W-W-L-D.

Yokohama FC: last five matches — W-W-L-W-L.

Table: Kataller Toyama — 3, Yokohama FC — 4 (of 20).

Team statistics for three seasons

Kataller Toyama at home and Yokohama FC away, 2024–2026.

Kataller ToyamaYokohama FC
Matches2222
Win rate27%50%
Goals scored per match1.21.4
Goals conceded per match1.20.9
Over 2.5 goals46%46%
Both teams score50%36%
Total corners per match——
Over 9.5 corners——
Total yellow cards per match2.32.5
Over 4.5 yellow cards9%14%

Head to head

7 meetings in our database: Kataller Toyama won 1, 1 draws, Yokohama FC won 5. Per match: 1.9 goals.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

All numbers in the Xpect app

Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.

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How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

How many yellow cards in Kataller Toyama vs Yokohama FC?

Our model expects 3.0 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 18%.

Who is more likely to win Kataller Toyama vs Yokohama FC?

Market line without margin: Kataller Toyama 35%, draw 28%, Yokohama FC 36%.

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