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Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir: prediction and statistics

Morocco · Botola Pro · 27 September 2026 · kick-off

Yellow cards

51%

Yellow cards over 4.5

Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards: Kawkab Marrakech 2.5, Hassania Agadir 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.4. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 51% (typical match — 45%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 51%, typical match 45%.

Result

Market line without margin: Kawkab Marrakech win 37%, draw 32%, Hassania Agadir win 31%. Over 2.5 goals — 35%, both teams to score — 42%.

Form

Kawkab Marrakech: last five matches — W-W-L-W-D.

Hassania Agadir: last five matches — L-W-L-D-L.

Table: Kawkab Marrakech — 9, Hassania Agadir — 13 (of 18).

Team statistics for three seasons

Kawkab Marrakech at home and Hassania Agadir away, 2023/24–2025/26.

Kawkab MarrakechHassania Agadir
Matches1546
Win rate47%17%
Goals scored per match1.30.8
Goals conceded per match0.71.4
Over 2.5 goals47%41%
Both teams score47%39%
Total corners per match3.08.3
Over 9.5 corners0%33%
Total yellow cards per match4.83.6
Over 4.5 yellow cards47%40%

Head to head

8 meetings in our database: Kawkab Marrakech won 1, 4 draws, Hassania Agadir won 3. Per match: 2.2 goals, 5.0 yellow cards.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

All numbers in the Xpect app

Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.

Coming soon to the App Store and Google PlayAbout the app

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

How many yellow cards in Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir?

Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 51%.

Who is more likely to win Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir?

Market line without margin: Kawkab Marrakech 37%, draw 32%, Hassania Agadir 31%.

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