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Köpetdag Aşgabat vs Aşgabat: prediction and statistics
Turkmenistan · Yokary Liga · 7 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Köpetdag Aşgabat · Aşgabat
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 63% of Köpetdag Aşgabat home games and 57% of Aşgabat away games.
- Our model sees an open game: Köpetdag Aşgabat 42%, draw 25%, Aşgabat 34%.
Result
Final score 1:0.
Result
Our model: Köpetdag Aşgabat win 42%, draw 25%, Aşgabat win 34%. Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 59%.
Form
Köpetdag Aşgabat: last five matches — W-L-D-L-D.
- 12 matches without a win · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Aşgabat: last five matches — L-L-D-L-L.
- 6 matches without a win · away
Table: Köpetdag Aşgabat — 8, Aşgabat — 7 (of 8).
Team statistics for three seasons
Köpetdag Aşgabat at home and Aşgabat away, 2024–2026.
| Köpetdag Aşgabat | Aşgabat | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 40 | 40 |
| Win rate | 18% | 23% |
| Goals scored per match | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.3 | 2.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 57% |
| Both teams score | 45% | 43% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Head to head
24 meetings in our database: Köpetdag Aşgabat won 7, 8 draws, Aşgabat won 9. Per match: 2.7 goals.
- 05.09.2026: Aşgabat 1:1 Köpetdag Aşgabat
- 07.06.2026: Köpetdag Aşgabat 3:1 Aşgabat
- 26.04.2026: Aşgabat 1:1 Köpetdag Aşgabat
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Köpetdag Aşgabat vs Aşgabat?
Our model: Köpetdag Aşgabat 42%, draw 25%, Aşgabat 34%.