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LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC: prediction and statistics
Ecuador · Liga Pro · 11 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.7 corners in the match: LDU de Quito 5.4, Barcelona SC 4.2. In a typical match of this competition — 9.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 50% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 50%, typical match 47%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards: LDU de Quito 2.3, Barcelona SC 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 48% (typical match — 51%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 52%, typical match 49%.
Result
Market line without margin: LDU de Quito win 55%, draw 26%, Barcelona SC win 18%. Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 46%.
Form
LDU de Quito: last five matches — W-D-D-W-W.
- 7 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
Barcelona SC: last five matches — D-W-D-L-D.
- 5 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
- 3 matches without a win · away
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: LDU de Quito — 5, Barcelona SC — 6 (of 16).
Team statistics for three seasons
LDU de Quito at home and Barcelona SC away, 2024–2026.
| LDU de Quito | Barcelona SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 52 | 50 |
| Win rate | 60% | 36% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 44% |
| Both teams score | 52% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | 9.9 | 9.1 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 51% | 44% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.7 | 4.8 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 48% | 58% |
Head to head
35 meetings in our database: LDU de Quito won 17, 11 draws, Barcelona SC won 7. Per match: 2.3 goals, 8.9 corners, 5.8 yellow cards.
- 27.07.2026: Barcelona SC 0:1 LDU de Quito
- 04.04.2026: LDU de Quito 0:2 Barcelona SC
- 23.11.2025: Barcelona SC 2:2 LDU de Quito
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC?
Our model expects 9.7 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 50%.
How many yellow cards in LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC?
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 48%.
Who is more likely to win LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC?
Market line without margin: LDU de Quito 55%, draw 26%, Barcelona SC 18%.