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Leyton Orient vs Harborough Town: prediction and statistics
England · Cup · 7 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Leyton Orient · Harborough Town
Key facts
- Leyton Orient is the more likely winner in our model: 77%, draw 16%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 67% of Leyton Orient’s home matches and 83% of Harborough Town’s away matches over three seasons.
Result
Final score 5:1.
Result
Our model: Leyton Orient win 77%, draw 16%, Harborough Town win 7%. Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 35%.
Form
Leyton Orient: last five matches — L-W-L-W-W.
- 6 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · at home
Harborough Town: last five matches — L-L-L-L-D.
- 10 matches without a win · away
- 9 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
Team statistics for three seasons
Leyton Orient at home and Harborough Town away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Leyton Orient | Harborough Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Win rate | 67% | 50% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.5 | 2.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 83% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 83% |
| Total corners per match | 12.3 | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | 100% | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.0 | 3.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 20% | 50% |
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Leyton Orient vs Harborough Town?
Our model: Leyton Orient 77%, draw 16%, Harborough Town 7%.