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Libertad Asuncion vs Olimpia: prediction and statistics
Paraguay · Primera División · 30 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.4 corners in the match: Libertad Asuncion 4.8, Olimpia 4.5. In a typical match of this competition — 9.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 46% (typical match — 44%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 59%, typical match 57%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards: Libertad Asuncion 2.4, Olimpia 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 50% (typical match — 53%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 69%, typical match 71%.
Form
Libertad Asuncion: last five matches — W-W-W-W-D.
- 5 matches unbeaten · at home
Olimpia: last five matches — L-D-W-W-W.
- 6 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 wins in a row · away
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
Table: Libertad Asuncion — 4, Olimpia — 1 (of 12).
Team statistics for three seasons
Libertad Asuncion at home and Olimpia away, 2024–2026.
| Libertad Asuncion | Olimpia | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 60 | 60 |
| Win rate | 52% | 42% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 35% |
| Both teams score | 48% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | 8.3 | 10.1 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 31% | 47% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.3 | 5.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 48% | 62% |
Head to head
42 meetings in our database: Libertad Asuncion won 17, 8 draws, Olimpia won 17. Per match: 2.6 goals, 9.7 corners, 3.3 yellow cards.
- 26.07.2026: Olimpia 0:1 Libertad Asuncion
- 25.04.2026: Libertad Asuncion 3:2 Olimpia
- 25.02.2026: Olimpia 1:0 Libertad Asuncion
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Libertad Asuncion vs Olimpia?
Our model expects 9.4 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 46%.
How many yellow cards in Libertad Asuncion vs Olimpia?
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 50%.