LISCR vs Fassell: prediction and statistics

Liberia · LFA First Division · 8 November 2026 · kick-off 16:00 UTC

Team stats: LISCR · Fassell

Key facts

• Our model makes Fassell the favourite at 54%; a draw is 26%.
• Fassell has won 3 of the last 4 meetings with LISCR.
• Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 45% of LISCR home games and 46% of Fassell away games.

Result

Our model: LISCR win 20%, draw 26%, Fassell win 54%. Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 43%.

Form

LISCR: last five matches — L-D-D-W-W.

• 4 matches unbeaten · at home
• 4 matches in a row both teams scored · at home

Fassell: last five matches — W-L-W-D-W.

• 6 matches unbeaten · all competitions

Table: LISCR — 5, Fassell — 3 (of 15).

Team statistics for three seasons

LISCR at home and Fassell away, 2023–2025.

Head to head

4 meetings in our database: LISCR won 0, 1 draws, Fassell won 3. Per match: 2.0 goals.

• 22.03.2026: LISCR 1:1 Fassell
• 02.11.2025: Fassell 1:0 LISCR
• 17.04.2025: LISCR 0:2 Fassell

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers