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Los Angeles Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids: prediction and statistics

USA · MLS · 27 September 2026 · kick-off

Corners

51%

Corners over 9.5

Our model expects 9.7 corners in the match: Los Angeles Galaxy 5.5, Colorado Rapids 4.2. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 51% (typical match — 54%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 62%, typical match 58%.

Yellow cards

52%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards: Los Angeles Galaxy 2.0, Colorado Rapids 2.5; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 48% (typical match — 38%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 67%, typical match 57%.

Result

Market line without margin: Los Angeles Galaxy win 43%, draw 24%, Colorado Rapids win 33%. Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 63%.

Form

Los Angeles Galaxy: last five matches — L-D-W-W-D.

Colorado Rapids: last five matches — L-L-L-L-D.

Table: Los Angeles Galaxy — 16, Colorado Rapids — 13 (of 30).

Team statistics for three seasons

Los Angeles Galaxy at home and Colorado Rapids away, 2024–2026.

Los Angeles GalaxyColorado Rapids
Matches5148
Win rate55%21%
Goals scored per match1.91.2
Goals conceded per match1.42.1
Over 2.5 goals71%73%
Both teams score69%58%
Total corners per match9.510.1
Over 9.5 corners45%60%
Total yellow cards per match4.64.4
Over 4.5 yellow cards49%48%

Head to head

36 meetings in our database: Los Angeles Galaxy won 15, 7 draws, Colorado Rapids won 14. Per match: 2.8 goals, 9.3 corners, 3.8 yellow cards.

Referee

Armando Villarreal: 113 matches in our database, 4.5 yellow cards per match (competition average 4.2); over 4.5 cards in 46% of matches.

All numbers in the Xpect app

Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.

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How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

How many corners in Los Angeles Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids?

Our model expects 9.7 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 51%.

How many yellow cards in Los Angeles Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids?

Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 48%.

Who is more likely to win Los Angeles Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids?

Market line without margin: Los Angeles Galaxy 43%, draw 24%, Colorado Rapids 33%.

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