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Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers: prediction and statistics
USA · MLS · 15 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.1 corners in the match: Los Angeles Galaxy 6.0, Portland Timbers 4.1. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 55% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 55%, typical match 54%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards: Los Angeles Galaxy 2.0, Portland Timbers 2.1; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 39% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 59%, typical match 57%.
Result
Market line without margin: Los Angeles Galaxy win 50%, draw 24%, Portland Timbers win 26%. Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 66%.
Form
Los Angeles Galaxy: last five matches — D-W-W-D-W.
- 5 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
Portland Timbers: last five matches — L-L-D-L-L.
- 6 matches in a row both teams scored · away
- 5 matches without a win · away
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · away
Table: Los Angeles Galaxy — 15, Portland Timbers — 21 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
Los Angeles Galaxy at home and Portland Timbers away, 2024–2026.
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Portland Timbers | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 52 | 50 |
| Win rate | 56% | 18% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 56% |
| Both teams score | 69% | 58% |
| Total corners per match | 9.5 | 9.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 46% | 52% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.6 | 4.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 48% | 50% |
Head to head
42 meetings in our database: Los Angeles Galaxy won 16, 11 draws, Portland Timbers won 15. Per match: 3.6 goals, 10.0 corners, 4.2 yellow cards.
- 22.03.2026: Portland Timbers 1:1 Los Angeles Galaxy
- 23.01.2026: Los Angeles Galaxy 1:0 Portland Timbers
- 28.04.2025: Los Angeles Galaxy 2:4 Portland Timbers
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers?
Our model expects 10.1 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 55%.
How many yellow cards in Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers?
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 39%.
Who is more likely to win Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers?
Market line without margin: Los Angeles Galaxy 50%, draw 24%, Portland Timbers 26%.