LPRC Oilers vs Gardnersville: prediction and statistics

Liberia · LFA First Division · 8 November 2026 · kick-off 16:00 UTC

Team stats: LPRC Oilers · Gardnersville

Key facts

• LPRC Oilers is the more likely winner in our model: 61%, draw 20%.
• Over 2.5 goals happened in 60% of LPRC Oilers’s home matches and 60% of Gardnersville’s away matches over three seasons.

Result

Our model: LPRC Oilers win 61%, draw 20%, Gardnersville win 19%. Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 58%.

Form

LPRC Oilers: last five matches — L-L-D-L-W.

• 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions

Gardnersville: last five matches — L-D-L-L-L.

• 9 matches without a win · away
• 3 losses in a row · away
• 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away

Table: LPRC Oilers — 4, Gardnersville — 11 (of 15).

Team statistics for three seasons

LPRC Oilers at home and Gardnersville away, 2023–2025.

Head to head

2 meetings in our database: LPRC Oilers won 1, 0 draws, Gardnersville won 1. Per match: 4.0 goals.

• 04.05.2026: LPRC Oilers 3:1 Gardnersville
• 06.11.2025: Gardnersville 3:1 LPRC Oilers

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers