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Lyon vs Crystal Palace: prediction and statistics
Europe · Europa League · 15 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.6 corners in the match: Lyon 5.6, Crystal Palace 4.0. In a typical match of this competition — 9.5. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 49% (typical match — 48%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 62%, typical match 61%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards: Lyon 1.6, Crystal Palace 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 35% (typical match — 46%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 65%, typical match 54%.
Result
Market line without margin: Lyon win 41%, draw 26%, Crystal Palace win 33%. Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 59%.
Form
Lyon: last five matches — W-L-D-W-W.
- 5 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · at home
Crystal Palace: last five matches — W-L-L-W-D.
- 3 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · away
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Team statistics for three seasons
Lyon at home and Crystal Palace away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Lyon | Crystal Palace | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 11 | — |
| Win rate | 64% | — |
| Goals scored per match | 2.0 | — |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | — |
| Both teams score | 46% | — |
| Total corners per match | 7.5 | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | 27% | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.5 | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 36% | — |
Head to head
1 meetings in our database: Lyon won 0, 0 draws, Crystal Palace won 1. Per match: 2.0 goals.
- 05.08.2023: Crystal Palace 2:0 Lyon
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Lyon vs Crystal Palace?
Our model expects 9.6 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 49%.
How many yellow cards in Lyon vs Crystal Palace?
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 35%.
Who is more likely to win Lyon vs Crystal Palace?
Market line without margin: Lyon 41%, draw 26%, Crystal Palace 33%.