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Maghreb Fès vs CR Khemis Zemamra: prediction and statistics

Morocco · Botola Pro · 27 September 2026 · kick-off

Corners

65%

Corners under 9.5

Our model expects 8.5 corners in the match: Maghreb Fès 4.9, CR Khemis Zemamra 3.6. In a typical match of this competition — 8.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 35% (typical match — 39%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 8.5 — 52%, typical match 48%.

Yellow cards

51%

Yellow cards over 4.5

Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards: Maghreb Fès 2.4, CR Khemis Zemamra 2.4; typical match of the competition — 4.4. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 51% (typical match — 45%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 51%, typical match 45%.

Result

Market line without margin: Maghreb Fès win 53%, draw 29%, CR Khemis Zemamra win 19%. Over 2.5 goals — 38%, both teams to score — 41%.

Form

Maghreb Fès: last five matches — W-L-W-W-W.

CR Khemis Zemamra: last five matches — L-W-L-D-D.

Table: Maghreb Fès — 1, CR Khemis Zemamra — 12 (of 18).

Team statistics for three seasons

Maghreb Fès at home and CR Khemis Zemamra away, 2023/24–2025/26.

Maghreb FèsCR Khemis Zemamra
Matches4545
Win rate49%38%
Goals scored per match1.21.0
Goals conceded per match0.91.3
Over 2.5 goals40%42%
Both teams score42%42%
Total corners per match7.89.5
Over 9.5 corners30%38%
Total yellow cards per match4.24.3
Over 4.5 yellow cards42%42%

Head to head

8 meetings in our database: Maghreb Fès won 2, 4 draws, CR Khemis Zemamra won 2. Per match: 2.6 goals, 8.5 corners, 5.5 yellow cards.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

All numbers in the Xpect app

Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.

Coming soon to the App Store and Google PlayAbout the app

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

How many corners in Maghreb Fès vs CR Khemis Zemamra?

Our model expects 8.5 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 35%.

How many yellow cards in Maghreb Fès vs CR Khemis Zemamra?

Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 51%.

Who is more likely to win Maghreb Fès vs CR Khemis Zemamra?

Market line without margin: Maghreb Fès 53%, draw 29%, CR Khemis Zemamra 19%.

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