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Málaga vs Espanyol: prediction and statistics
Spain · La Liga · 9 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.5 corners in the match: Málaga 5.4, Espanyol 4.0. In a typical match of this competition — 9.6. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 48% (typical match — 49%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 53%, typical match 51%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.1 yellow cards: Málaga 2.3, Espanyol 2.8; typical match of the competition — 5.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 58% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 58%, typical match 56%.
Result
Market line without margin: Málaga win 36%, draw 30%, Espanyol win 35%. Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 52%.
Form
Málaga: last five matches — W-D-D-D-L.
- 9 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · at home
Espanyol: last five matches — D-L-L-W-L.
- 4 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · away
Table: Málaga — 20, Espanyol — 15 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Málaga at home and Espanyol away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Málaga | Espanyol | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 41 |
| Win rate | 0% | 22% |
| Goals scored per match | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 51% |
| Both teams score | 67% | 56% |
| Total corners per match | 11.0 | 9.5 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 100% | 51% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.7 | 4.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 100% | 46% |
Head to head
37 meetings in our database: Málaga won 13, 6 draws, Espanyol won 18. Per match: 2.7 goals, 11.1 corners, 4.9 yellow cards.
- 02.05.2021: Espanyol 3:0 Málaga
- 02.11.2020: Málaga 0:3 Espanyol
- 02.09.2020: Espanyol 3:0 Málaga
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Málaga vs Espanyol?
Our model expects 9.5 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 48%.
How many yellow cards in Málaga vs Espanyol?
Our model expects 5.1 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 58%.
Who is more likely to win Málaga vs Espanyol?
Market line without margin: Málaga 36%, draw 30%, Espanyol 35%.